Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.126722 0.147064 0.169654 0.196609 0.227911 0.263134 0.305806
2025-04-20 0.097736 0.125678 0.160036 0.205432 0.263919 0.336856 0.434926
2025-04-27 0.081961 0.113113 0.154206 0.212466 0.293128 0.401159 0.557356
2025-05-04 0.071007 0.103796 0.149591 0.218362 0.319343 0.462714 0.682728
2025-05-11 0.061694 0.094766 0.143291 0.219878 0.338205 0.514916 0.800481
2025-05-18 0.053583 0.086021 0.135755 0.217808 0.350477 0.557768 0.908625
2025-05-25 0.046098 0.077029 0.126380 0.211153 0.354004 0.586585 0.997228
2025-06-01 0.042278 0.073335 0.124762 0.216495 0.377164 0.649029 1.148411
2025-06-08 0.038237 0.068670 0.120838 0.217214 0.392212 0.699158 1.284217
2025-06-15 0.035277 0.065465 0.118929 0.221032 0.412855 0.760952 1.448114
2025-06-22 0.031488 0.060257 0.112794 0.216299 0.417087 0.793295 1.560864
2025-06-29 0.028436 0.056033 0.107923 0.213239 0.423886 0.830818 1.687704
2025-07-06 0.026040 0.052844 0.104746 0.213285 0.437171 0.883208 1.852843
2025-07-13 0.024926 0.052076 0.106191 0.222758 0.470645 0.979790 2.122113
2025-07-20 0.023713 0.050941 0.106740 0.230394 0.501160 1.073830 2.398284
2025-07-27 0.022488 0.049620 0.106730 0.236794 0.529740 1.167069 2.684895
2025-08-03 0.020963 0.047458 0.104673 0.238440 0.547990 1.239964 2.935027
2025-08-10 0.019281 0.044740 0.101088 0.236194 0.557093 1.293425 3.146812
2025-08-17 0.017407 0.041358 0.095636 0.228969 0.553685 1.317727 3.291795
2025-08-24 0.016625 0.040443 0.095703 0.234767 0.582009 1.419798 3.641698
2025-08-31 0.015579 0.038767 0.093798 0.235548 0.598120 1.494308 3.931773
2025-09-07 0.014827 0.037723 0.093282 0.239693 0.623133 1.593663 4.299508
2025-09-14 0.013611 0.035370 0.089301 0.234555 0.623649 1.631096 4.507239